From the Detroit Free Press
2015/16 Detroit Red Wings PreviewLast Year: In many ways last year was a series of repeats for the Wings. Atop the league as a team both offensively and defensively, they managed to both score more goals and allow less than their league leading totals the season prior. They successfully defended not only the President's Trophy, but also earned their second straight Stanley Cup after four tough playoff series featuring almost exclusively one goal games.
There were some new faces in the lineup as Patrice Bergeron, Ryan Kesler, Dougie Hamilton, Simon Despres and Martin Jones all played big roles in helping the Wings improve on their performance of the previous season.
This Year: This year's edition of the Red Wings look to cement their place in team history as the first to win three consecutive Stanley Cups. Another wave of new faces join the effort while some fan favorites won't be around to see the job to the end.
Jake Allen becomes the 5th starting goalie in the past 3 seasons while Nathan MacKinnon, Jerry Wood and Matt Duchene look to join Nail Yakupov as core building blocks in the top 6 forwards.
It was a crazy offseason for the defending champions, and while there were major names lost, there were exciting names added as well. Given how young so many of the key players on this team are, there should be multiple guys looking to establish career best seasons at every position on the team.
Offseason Departures• Steven Stamkos (LW/C): An elite talent in the league, but was entering the final year his deal and it's rumored he would have been looking for $10+ million a year on his next deal.
• Taylor Hall (RW): Still had 4 years left at $6 million per but was the key piece that made the 4 team blockbuster deal happen.
• Ryan Kelser (C): Played well but was always a stop gap 2C for the Wings. Went to LA along with Monahan in exchange for Duchene.
• Sean Monahan (C): Like Hall, a piece they were reluctant to move, but also like Hall, necessary to facilitate getting a deal done.
• Martin Jones (G): According to inside sources, the toughest move of the offseason which is saying something when Stamkos, Hall and Monahan were also moved. His contract demands ended up pricing him out of what the Wings were willing to give and he was moved for a highly regarded netminding prospect.
New Additions• Nathan MacKinnon (LW/C): Acquired in the deal that saw Stamkos go to Washington. Has all the tools to be/surpass the player that Stamkos is, but the question is if and when that will happen.
• Matt Duchene (C): The left handed center the Wings have been searching for to compliment Bergeron in the top 6. Will play heavy minutes in all situations.
• Jerry Wood (RW/C): 4th overall pick in the recent draft, the key piece Detroit acquired in the 4 team deal. Is a 5 tool prospect and can also play in the middle if need be.
• Freddie Hamilton (LW/C): Joins his brother in the organization but will have to work hard to have a shot to play with him in Detroit.
• Trevor Gudbranson (G): High upside to elite level goalie prospect acquired in the Jones deal. Will likely take 2-3 years to come anywhere close to seeing EEHL time but is highly regarded around the league.
Current Depth Chart
Left Wing |
Center |
Right Wing |
Left Defense |
Right Defense |
Goalie |
MacKinnon |
Bergeron (A) |
Yakupov | Hamilton |
Hedman (C) |
Allen* |
Hemsky |
Duchene |
Wood* |
Bogosian (A) |
Josi |
Cannata* |
Fasth |
Arniel* |
Andersson |
Larsson |
Despres | |
Morin |
Sobotka |
Roussel | |
Donovan | |
Vitale | |
MacKenzie | | | |
*denotes rookie
The top 6 up front gets a revamped and younger look with the additions of MacKinnon, Duchene and Wood. Hemsky is the only forward over 30 while Bergeron is closing in on that mark as he's now 29.
Arniel makes the jump from the AHL and has already surpassed Sobotka on the depth chart, though the importance of the righty/lefty splits on this team mean either could see time in the top 6 depending on who is missing. This is also seen with Vitale (right) and MacKenzie (left) being the two extra forwards as both are natural centers but can fill in on their respective wings when necessary.
Jeremy Morin and Antoine Roussel would likely be third line wingers with upside on most teams. Both bring speed, skill and a lot of sandpaper to their games.
On the back end, all 6 primary defenders return from last year and each looks to take a step forward in their development curve. Bogosian and Josi are the elder statesmen of the group at just 25 years of age. As good as they were last year, they should be even better this year as for most, they're just entering their 3rd or 4th full season in the league.
Jake Allen signed an 8 year deal this offseason which may have been the tipping point in deciding whether or not to bring back Martin Jones. Allen was dominant in the AHL last year and likely would have been called up to start had Jones been hurt. Allen was willing to sign long term while Jones wanted more money up front, so at least for now, Allen will get a prolonged audition between the pipes.
Top 5 Prospects• Jerry Wood: Hard to call him a prospect as he'll start in the EEHL from day one, but he was just drafted so for now he qualifies. Doesn't seem to have any weaknesses and the hope is that he's the real deal as he'll be counted on to fill the role Yakupov has played the last two seasons.
• Trevor Gudbranson: The top goalie prospect in the system now and one of the best around the league. He'll likely move to the AHL next year and the hope is that within 2-3 years he can start pushing to be the starter there.
• Alex Merkley: The only draft pick of the Wings appearing on this list, Merkley appears to be 2 seasons away from a shot with the club. At 6'6 and already 220lbs at just 19 years of age, he has all the physical tools to be a dominant force on the ice.
• John Gibson: Prior to the deal to acquire Gudbranson, Gibson had been the shooting star goalie prospect for the Wings. The club has reaffirmed their belief in him since the trade happened and he will likely get split starts in the AHL this year to prove his worth. If he can seize the job he knows the team doesn't have a problem moving highly regarded prospects as they did with Dansk last year.
• Roman Hlavac: A skilled forward who can play center or the wing, he still has some growing to do. He'll play in the AHL this year and look to continue the success he's been enjoying through his minor league career.
Season PredictionThe Wings have gotten younger, but likely also better, at almost every position on the team. The big questions are whether MacKinnon can fill the void left by Stamkos, if the combination of Yakupov/Wood can be as productive as Hall/Yakupov were and if Allen can supply the same level of goaltending Jones did.
While it's unlikely that MacKinnon can replicate Stamkos' production of a year ago, odds are that Yakupov/Wood can at least duplicate what Hall/Yakupov did last year. That means the improvement from the rest of the team has to make up the difference from MacKinnon to Stamkos. Given the improvements to the depth up front and the maturation on the blue line, this doesn't seem that far fetched.
In net, while Jones had a stellar year last season, the Wings already showed that they can win with league average or worse production in net two years ago. It's also very easy to believe that Allen will get until the trade deadline to show what he can do, and if need be, the team has the trade ammunition to go out and fill that position with a rental.
For the third year in a row the Wings will be contending for the President's Trophy and will earn a spot into the Stanley Cup playoffs. After that, it's as much up to luck as it is skill.